Europe has every right to be afraid of Republican President Donald Trump’s return to the White House. Fears that his return could have devastating consequences for transatlantic relations, especially with regard to the Ukrainian war, NATO, European security, and economic relations. European leaders picked up on Trump’s repeated signals during his election campaign to impose additional taxes and tariffs of up to 10 percent on US imports from EU countries, and pressure them to import more US goods, which means the possibility of a trade war between the two parties, in addition to fears that it could affect NATO, and also his announcement of reaching peace between Russia and Ukraine, which means that he is washing his hands of continuing to support Kiev militarily and financially, as Europe cannot fill the gap left by the US decision to stop this support. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni addressed the EU leaders who met in Budapest after Trump’s victory, saying: “Ask not what the United States can do for you, but what Europe should do for itself,” while Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán expressed these concerns by saying: “Europe cannot finance this war alone, some still want to continue sending huge amounts of money to this losing war.” Meanwhile, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz were quick to communicate and agreed on the need to work together “for a more united, stronger and sovereign Europe.” Expressing European concerns, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen addressed President Trump after his victory, writing: “Let us work together for a transatlantic partnership that continues to serve the interests of our citizens. Millions of jobs and billions in trade and investment on both sides of the Atlantic depend on the dynamism and stability of our economic relations.” It is noteworthy that the US trade deficit in goods and services with the European Union reached $124 billion in 2024, which Trump seeks to adjust by reaching a new trade formula that ends this deficit. Trump also aspires to transfer part of European companies’ factories to the US market in many vital sectors as part of a plan to reach the lowest unemployment rate, which is the other aspect that European countries fear. It is also likely that NATO may be Trump’s next victim, as he has called on more than one occasion for the need for greater support from allies, and not to rely on the United States to provide security for Europe. Last February, Trump announced during his election campaign that the United States would not defend NATO member states that do not fulfill their financial obligations if they were attacked by Russia, and “I will let Russia do whatever it wants to you, and you have to pay.” Europe seems to be facing real geopolitical changes, uncertainty and fears about what the future holds, and this was reflected in newspaper comments. The British Financial Times wrote that Trump’s re-election “would be a game changer for America’s allies,” while the French Le Monde said that Trump “is returning to power driven by his political instincts and a desire for revenge.” In Poland, the Getzow Spoleta newspaper wrote that “the biggest problem, from our point of view, is that Europe is not fully prepared for Trump. There is currently no leader in Europe capable of taking the initiative in Western society. France and Germany are going through a serious political crisis.” The German Der Spiegel newspaper predicted “huge changes in American foreign and security policy that will have negative repercussions for Europeans.” Europe is at a loss as to what to do, as fear and anxiety hover over it.
Weekly Kashf al-Haqiq Magazine Editor-in-Chief Jaafar al-Khabouri
Al-Khaleej Newspaper